It’s crunch time, folks, and things aren’t looking good for Kamala Harris. A new Fox News poll shows President Trump pulling ahead of Harris by 2 points among likely voters, just weeks before Election Day. With a 50-48% lead, Trump is now gaining serious momentum, especially after Harris’s tense showdown with Bret Baier. Even though the race is within the poll’s margin of error, the shift toward Trump marks a real problem for the Harris campaign as they try to make up ground.
The numbers tell a clear story. Trump’s support is surging among key demographics that Harris desperately needs. He’s extended his lead among White voters, now sitting at a 10-point advantage—up from 4 points last month. He’s also seeing unprecedented support among senior voters and college graduates, two groups where he’s traditionally struggled. Trump’s backing from older Americans has hit a record high of 49%, and his support from college-educated voters is nearing 50%, indicating that he’s successfully expanding his appeal.
Meanwhile, Harris is losing ground with Democratic strongholds. Her support among Black voters has dipped to 67%, and the drop is especially pronounced among Black men, a group her campaign can’t afford to lose.
During her recent interview with Baier, Harris struggled to counter the narrative that the Biden-Harris administration is out of touch on issues like immigration and public safety. Baier pressed her on everything from the administration’s lenient immigration policies to Harris’s past support for controversial gender-affirming policies for inmates. Harris grew visibly frustrated, and it wasn’t long before she and Baier were talking over each other, with Harris appearing flustered and unprepared. That moment, right there, might just be the image many voters remember when they head to the polls.
Chris Anderson, a Democratic pollster, summed it up well: while Trump’s gains may seem subtle, they’re stacking up in ways that could be decisive come Election Day. Polls are showing enthusiasm among Trump’s base remains sky-high, with 80% of his supporters saying they’re genuinely voting for him, not just against Harris. In contrast, a third of Harris’s own voters admit they’re only backing her to block Trump.
With swing states like Pennsylvania now tilting toward Trump, and even forecasters like Nate Silver noting a significant shift in his favor, Harris has an uphill battle.
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